Why micracles are very unlikely

For miracles to be true, by definition, you need evidence that an event is unlikely AND that it really happened.

But if you get evidence that the event is very unlikely, that's always also evidence that it hasn't actually happened.

And if you get evidence that the event really happened, that's always also evidence that it isn't unlikely.^[1]

That’s why extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.^[2]

Notes

[1] Bob Hargrave's philosophy